CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2024-06-08T01:53:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2024-06-08T01:53ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/31346/-1
CME Note: Large halo CME visible in STEREO A COR2 and SOHO LASCO C2 and C3 imagery. The source appears to be two back-to-back M-class flares from AR13697 with associated dimming signature to the north as well as nice filament ejecta to the west and north. Post-eruptive arcades are beginning to show in SDO/AIA 193. There is a large EUV wave associated with this event, as best seen in SDO/AIA 211.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2024-06-10T16:36Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-06-10T15:54Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:
************************************************************************************** % Compiled module: EAM ************************************************************************************** Most pr. speed = 1126.0 km/sec The EAM version you are running is: v3 Utilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021 - DOI: 10.1007/s11207-020-01747-4] u_r = 657.018 Acceleration: 0.146224 Duration in seconds: 223266.42 Duration in days: 2.5841020 t2 is negative ************************************************************************************** Acceleration of the CME: 0.15 m/s^2 Velocity of the CME at 1 AU: 689.7 km/s Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 10/06/2024 Time: 15:54 UT **************************************************************************************Lead Time: 49.88 hour(s)
Difference: 0.70 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2024-06-08T14:43Z
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